NHL · Monte Carlo engine
NHL predictions from 10,000 nights of every game.
Every NHL game plays out ten thousand times — the starting goalies, lineups, injuries, and back-to-backs included. When the starting goalie changes, it all runs again.
Last 30 days: 74–44 on moneyline — graded live, losses included.
NHL · How the model saw it
Fri, Oct 16 · Final
CGY @ VGK
monte carlo · 10,000 runs
Pre-game: VGK 54%
Final: 2–6✓ W
CGY · scored 2 ▾
VGK · scored 6 ▾
2 NHL games simulated for the current slate — members see every sport.
Last 30 days · NHL moneyline picks
We show every pick.
Even the ones that miss.
Most sites show you their winners. This board updates itself after every final score — the good nights and the bad ones.
74
Wins
44
Losses
62.7%
Hit rate
118
Games graded
| Date | Sport | Game | Our pick | Odds | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/15 | NHL | CGY @ VGK | VGK ML | −285 | 2–6 | W |
| 10/15 | NHL | UTA @ EDM | UTA ML | −117 | 4–2 | W |
| 10/15 | NHL | STL @ MIN | MIN ML | −144 | 4–5 | W |
| 10/15 | NHL | SJS @ NSH | SJS ML | +110 | 3–2 | W |
| 10/15 | NHL | WPG @ CHI | WPG ML | −125 | 3–4 | L |
| 10/15 | NHL | PHI @ DET | DET ML | −146 | 1–2 | W |
| 10/15 | NHL | NYR @ NJD | NJD ML | −133 | 1–7 | W |
| 10/15 | NHL | VAN @ FLA | FLA ML | −304 | 2–3 | W |
| 10/15 | NHL | SEA @ TBL | TBL ML | −279 | 3–4 | W |
| 10/15 | NHL | NYI @ OTT | OTT ML | −163 | 1–2 | W |
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
How Prophecy works
A simulation engine, not a tout sheet
Most sites sell somebody’s opinion. Prophecy runs the numbers — the same kind of simulation Wall Street uses to price risk — played out ten thousand times a night.
01 — What goes in
Everything that decides a game
Tonight’s starting goalies, lineups, injuries, back-to-backs and travel — the details that actually move a game. When the starting goalie changes before puck drop, the engine catches it and runs it again.
Starting goalies
Lineups & injuries
Back-to-backs & travel
02 — The simulation
The game gets played 10,000 times
Our engine plays the full game out ten thousand times over. Instead of one guess, you see every way the night could go — period by period, and how often it goes each way. Player props come from the same simulated games.
Full-game simulations
Every possible final score
Props from the same games
03 — The cut
Only real edges reach you
Every day we check the model’s numbers against the sportsbooks’ actual prices. A pick only makes the card when it’s been beating the odds for real — and the scoreboard above is the receipt.
Checked against real odds
Picks must earn their spot
Losses count too
Player props · periods
Props from the same shifts
Player props aren’t a separate model bolted on — they fall out of the same 10,000 simulated games. If the sim says a team spends the night in the other end, its shooters’ shots and the opposing goalie’s saves already know it.
Skaters
Anytime goal
Goals
Assists
Points
Shots on goal
Blocked shots
Goalies
Saves
Game markets
Moneyline
Puck line
Totals (O/U)
Team totals
Periods & regulation
Wherever you bet from
The picks come to you
The dashboard
Every game on the slate with win probabilities, projected scores, player props, and the live odds they’re graded against. Updated as lineups move.
Discord alerts
Model picks and lineup-change re-simulations pushed to your phone the moment they happen — no refreshing required.
Your AI assistant
Connect Prophecy to ChatGPT or Claude and just ask: "who does the model like tonight, and why?" Full simulation data, in plain conversation. Works with any MCP-compatible assistant.
Tonight's slate is already simulated.
See every game's distribution, picks, and props — free for a week.