ProphecyAI Logo
prophecyai
RecordOfficial PlaysHow it worksPricingFAQ

NFL · Monte Carlo engine

NFL predictions from 10,000 Sundays of every game.

Every NFL game plays out play by play, ten thousand times — the starting quarterbacks, injuries, rest, weather, and the venue included. When a starter changes, it all runs again.

See the record

Last 30 days: 35–28 on moneyline — graded live, losses included.

NFL · How the model saw it

Fri, Oct 16 · Final

SEA @ DEN

monte carlo · 10,000 runs

Pre-game: SEA 63%

Final: 14–17✗ L

0–67–1314–2021–2728–3435–4142+

SEA · scored 14 ▾

DEN · scored 17 ▾

13 NFL games simulated for the current slate — members see every sport.

Last 30 days · NFL moneyline picks

We show every pick.
Even the ones that miss.

Most sites show you their winners. This board updates itself after every final score — the good nights and the bad ones.

35

Wins

28

Losses

55.6%

Hit rate

63

Games graded

DateSportGameOur pickOddsFinalResult
10/15NFLSEA @ DENSEA ML−14914–17
L
10/12NFLBUF @ LARLAR ML−17637–34
L
10/11NFLBAL @ ATLATL ML−17530–23
L
10/11NFLSF @ SEASF ML+13632–29
W
10/11NFLDET @ ARIDET ML−25045–21
W
10/11NFLDEN @ LACLAC ML+15023–17
L
10/11NFLCHI @ GBCHI ML−1207–31
L
10/11NFLHOU @ TENHOU ML−31526–3
W
10/11NFLIND @ PITPIT ML−16122–34
W
10/11NFLCLE @ NYJNYJ ML−14412–17
W

Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.

How Prophecy works

A simulation engine, not a tout sheet

Most sites sell somebody’s opinion. Prophecy runs the numbers — the same kind of simulation Wall Street uses to price risk — played out snap by snap.

01 — What goes in

Everything that decides a game

Who’s starting at quarterback, the injury report, rest, travel, the weather and the venue — the details that actually move a game. When a starter is ruled in or out before kickoff, the engine catches it and runs it again.

  • Starting quarterbacks

  • Injuries & rest

  • Weather & venue

02 — The simulation

The game gets played 10,000 times

Our engine plays the full game out, play by play, ten thousand times over. Instead of one guess, you see every way the game could go — quarter by quarter, and how often it goes each way. Player props come from the same snaps.

  • Play-by-play simulations

  • Every possible final score

  • Props from the same snaps

03 — The cut

Only real edges reach you

Every day we check the model’s numbers against the sportsbooks’ actual prices. A pick only makes the card when it’s been beating the odds for real — and the scoreboard above is the receipt.

  • Checked against real odds

  • Picks must earn their spot

  • Losses count too

Player props · halves · quarters

Props from the same snaps

Player props aren’t a separate model bolted on — they fall out of the same 10,000 simulated games, one play at a time. If the sim says a team leans on the run, its back’s rushing yards and its quarterback’s attempts already know it.

Passing

  • Pass yards

  • Pass TD

  • Completions

  • Pass attempts

  • Interceptions

  • Longest completion

Rushing & receiving

  • Anytime TD

  • 2+ TD

  • Rush yards

  • Rush attempts

  • Receptions

  • Rec yards

  • Rush + rec yards

Game markets

  • Moneyline

  • Spread

  • Totals (O/U)

  • Team totals

  • Halves & quarters

Wherever you bet from

The picks come to you

The dashboard

Every game on the slate with win probabilities, projected scores, player props, and the live odds they’re graded against. Updated as lineups move.

Discord alerts

Model picks and lineup-change re-simulations pushed to your phone the moment they happen — no refreshing required.

Your AI assistant

Connect Prophecy to ChatGPT or Claude and just ask: "who does the model like tonight, and why?" Full simulation data, in plain conversation. Works with any MCP-compatible assistant.

Tonight's slate is already simulated.

See every game's distribution, picks, and props — free for a week.