Track record
The whole record.
Graded by the scoreboard, not by us.
Every moneyline pick the model has made in the last 30 days — the same live board as the homepage, with more picks shown — scored automatically the moment each game goes final. This week: 60–34 over the last 7 days.
Last 30 days · moneyline picks
We show every pick.
Even the ones that miss.
Most sites show you their winners. This board updates itself after every final score — the good nights and the bad ones.
239
Wins
164
Losses
59.3%
Hit rate
403
Games graded
| Date | Game | Our pick | Odds | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25 | CHC @ AZ | AZ ML | -103 | 4–5 | W |
| 08/25 | MIN @ ATH | MIN ML | -146 | 2–4 | L |
| 08/25 | LAD @ ATL | LAD ML | -151 | 3–4 | L |
| 08/25 | TEX @ CWS | CWS ML | +100 | 7–11 | W |
| 08/25 | TB @ DET | TB ML | -130 | 1–4 | L |
| 08/25 | CLE @ LAA | CLE ML | -143 | 8–6 | W |
| 08/25 | BOS @ MIA | BOS ML | -143 | 7–3 | W |
| 08/25 | MIL @ NYM | MIL ML | -160 | 2–3 | L |
| 08/25 | HOU @ NYY | NYY ML | -137 | 9–7 | L |
| 08/25 | PIT @ SD | SD ML | -130 | 1–0 | L |
| 08/25 | CIN @ SF | CIN ML | -102 | 1–3 | L |
| 08/25 | PHI @ SEA | SEA ML | -111 | 1–4 | W |
| 08/25 | BAL @ STL | STL ML | -123 | 13–1 | L |
| 08/25 | KC @ TOR | KC ML | +118 | 5–3 | W |
| 08/25 | COL @ WSH | WSH ML | -158 | 3–1 | L |
| 08/24 | CHC @ AZ | CHC ML | -140 | 7–0 | W |
| 08/24 | MIN @ ATH | MIN ML | -140 | 9–6 | W |
| 08/24 | TEX @ CWS | CWS ML | -132 | 11–2 | L |
| 08/24 | TB @ DET | TB ML | -135 | 4–1 | W |
| 08/24 | CLE @ LAA | CLE ML | -163 | 4–2 | W |
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. 21+, where legal.
How this is graded
No screenshots. No memory-holed picks.
What counts as a pick
The model's moneyline side for every MLB game it simulated — the team it gave the higher win probability. No confidence filters, no "leans," no picks quietly dropped after the fact.
How grading happens
When a game goes final, the pick is scored against the real result automatically. The same database row that fed the pre-game simulation gets the final score written next to it — there's no step where a human chooses what to publish.
Why losses are shown
A 57% hitter that shows you all 100 picks is worth more than a "90% lock machine" that shows you nine winners. The break-even line at typical moneyline juice sits near 52.4% — what matters is the full record against that bar.
Record shown is the flagship MLB Monte Carlo model's moneyline side. Members see graded results for every model and market — spreads, totals, and player props — inside the app. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. 21+, where legal.
Tomorrow's picks get graded too.
See them before first pitch — free for a week.