Track record
The whole record.
Graded by the scoreboard, not by us.
Every moneyline pick the model has made in the last 30 days — the same live board as the homepage, with more picks shown — scored automatically the moment each game goes final. This week: 52–45 over the last 7 days.
Last 30 days · moneyline picks
We show every pick.
Even the ones that miss.
Most sites show you their winners. This board updates itself after every final score — the good nights and the bad ones.
233
Wins
172
Losses
57.5%
Hit rate
405
Games graded
| Date | Game | Our pick | Odds | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | KC @ BAL | BAL ML | -164 | 1–6 | W |
| 07/11 | ATH @ CWS | CWS ML | -130 | 0–1 | W |
| 07/11 | CHC @ CIN | CIN ML | -119 | 5–3 | L |
| 07/11 | PHI @ DET | PHI ML | -145 | 4–2 | W |
| 07/11 | AZ @ LAD | LAD ML | -318 | 9–2 | L |
| 07/11 | CLE @ MIA | MIA ML | -161 | 4–1 | L |
| 07/11 | LAA @ MIN | MIN ML | -188 | 3–5 | W |
| 07/11 | BOS @ NYM | NYM ML | -144 | 4–0 | L |
| 07/11 | MIL @ PIT | PIT ML | -117 | 6–7 | W |
| 07/11 | MIL @ PIT | MIL ML | -145 | 2–3 | L |
| 07/11 | TOR @ SD | SD ML | -110 | 7–8 | W |
| 07/11 | COL @ SF | SF ML | -149 | 2–4 | W |
| 07/11 | ATL @ STL | STL ML | -111 | 1–4 | W |
| 07/11 | SEA @ TB | TB ML | -110 | 1–6 | W |
| 07/11 | HOU @ TEX | TEX ML | -120 | 9–3 | L |
| 07/11 | NYY @ WSH | NYY ML | -199 | 4–2 | W |
| 07/10 | KC @ BAL | BAL ML | -158 | 3–5 | W |
| 07/10 | ATH @ CWS | CWS ML | -185 | 1–14 | W |
| 07/10 | CHC @ CIN | CIN ML | +101 | 0–4 | W |
| 07/10 | PHI @ DET | DET ML | -120 | 2–10 | W |
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. 21+, where legal.
How this is graded
No screenshots. No memory-holed picks.
What counts as a pick
The model's moneyline side for every MLB game it simulated — the team it gave the higher win probability. No confidence filters, no "leans," no picks quietly dropped after the fact.
How grading happens
When a game goes final, the pick is scored against the real result automatically. The same database row that fed the pre-game simulation gets the final score written next to it — there's no step where a human chooses what to publish.
Why losses are shown
A 57% hitter that shows you all 100 picks is worth more than a "90% lock machine" that shows you nine winners. The break-even line at typical moneyline juice sits near 52.4% — what matters is the full record against that bar.
Record shown is the flagship MLB Monte Carlo model's moneyline side. Members see graded results for every model and market — spreads, totals, and player props — inside the app. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. 21+, where legal.
Tomorrow's picks get graded too.
See them before first pitch — free for a week.