Track record
The whole record.
Graded by the scoreboard, not by us.
Every moneyline pick the model has made in the last 30 days — the same live board as the homepage, with more picks shown — scored automatically the moment each game goes final. This week: 7–8 over the last 7 days.
Last 30 days · moneyline picks
We show every pick.
Even the ones that miss.
Most sites show you their winners. This board updates itself after every final score — the good nights and the bad ones.
164
Wins
94
Losses
63.6%
Hit rate
258
Games graded
| Date | Game | Our pick | Odds | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | CLE @ CWS | CLE ML | −118 | 9–5 | W |
| 10/07 | CLE @ CWS | CLE ML | +112 | 9–3 | W |
| 10/07 | LAD @ ATL | LAD ML | −145 | 4–1 | W |
| 10/07 | MIL @ SD | SD ML | −110 | 3–1 | L |
| 10/07 | TB @ NYY | NYY ML | −175 | 4–3 | L |
| 10/06 | LAD @ ATL | ATL ML | −105 | 3–1 | L |
| 10/06 | MIL @ SD | MIL ML | +120 | 3–4 | L |
| 10/05 | CWS @ CLE | CLE ML | −156 | 4–3 | L |
| 10/05 | NYY @ TB | NYY ML | −125 | 2–5 | L |
| 10/04 | ATL @ LAD | LAD ML | −235 | 3–2 | L |
| 10/04 | SD @ MIL | MIL ML | −135 | 3–4 | W |
| 10/03 | ATL @ LAD | LAD ML | −230 | 3–5 | W |
| 10/03 | CWS @ CLE | CLE ML | −149 | 3–0 | L |
| 10/03 | NYY @ TB | TB ML | −141 | 0–1 | W |
| 10/03 | SD @ MIL | MIL ML | −213 | 2–3 | W |
| 10/01 | PHI @ ATL | ATL ML | −114 | 2–6 | W |
| 09/30 | BOS @ NYY | NYY ML | −137 | 2–9 | W |
| 09/30 | CHC @ SD | SD ML | −140 | 1–4 | W |
| 09/30 | CWS @ HOU | HOU ML | −154 | 7–3 | L |
| 09/30 | PHI @ ATL | ATL ML | −104 | 4–3 | L |
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. 21+, where legal.
How this is graded
No screenshots. No memory-holed picks.
What counts as a pick
The model's moneyline side for every MLB game it simulated — the team it gave the higher win probability. No confidence filters, no "leans," no picks quietly dropped after the fact.
How grading happens
When a game goes final, the pick is scored against the real result automatically. The same database row that fed the pre-game simulation gets the final score written next to it — there's no step where a human chooses what to publish.
Why losses are shown
A 57% hitter that shows you all 100 picks is worth more than a "90% lock machine" that shows you nine winners. The break-even line at typical moneyline juice sits near 52.4% — what matters is the full record against that bar.
Record shown is the flagship MLB Monte Carlo model's moneyline side. Members see graded results for every model and market — spreads, totals, and player props — inside the app. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. 21+, where legal.
Tomorrow's picks get graded too.
See them before first pitch — free for a week.