Track record
The whole record.
Graded by the scoreboard, not by us.
Every moneyline pick the model has made in the last 30 days — the same live board as the homepage, with more picks shown — scored automatically the moment each game goes final. This week: 56–38 over the last 7 days.
Last 30 days · moneyline picks
We show every pick.
Even the ones that miss.
Most sites show you their winners. This board updates itself after every final score — the good nights and the bad ones.
229
Wins
175
Losses
56.7%
Hit rate
404
Games graded
| Date | Game | Our pick | Odds | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/18 | NYY @ BAL | NYY ML | -106 | 3–1 | W |
| 08/18 | AZ @ BOS | BOS ML | -172 | 4–9 | W |
| 08/18 | CWS @ CHC | CHC ML | -170 | 3–4 | W |
| 08/18 | STL @ CIN | STL ML | -115 | 3–0 | W |
| 08/18 | SF @ CLE | CLE ML | -191 | 1–8 | W |
| 08/18 | LAD @ COL | LAD ML | -193 | 7–6 | W |
| 08/18 | LAA @ HOU | HOU ML | -164 | 3–1 | L |
| 08/18 | ATH @ KC | KC ML | -155 | 3–4 | W |
| 08/18 | SEA @ MIL | MIL ML | -166 | 0–22 | W |
| 08/18 | ATL @ MIN | ATL ML | -144 | 1–4 | L |
| 08/18 | SD @ NYM | SD ML | -116 | 5–2 | W |
| 08/18 | MIA @ PHI | PHI ML | -210 | 4–6 | W |
| 08/18 | DET @ PIT | PIT ML | -151 | 1–4 | W |
| 08/18 | TOR @ TB | TB ML | -134 | 10–5 | L |
| 08/18 | WSH @ TEX | WSH ML | +130 | 0–5 | L |
| 08/17 | AZ @ BOS | BOS ML | -134 | 1–11 | W |
| 08/17 | CWS @ CHC | CHC ML | -157 | 5–7 | W |
| 08/17 | STL @ CIN | CIN ML | +101 | 2–1 | L |
| 08/17 | STL @ CIN | STL ML | -116 | 5–6 | L |
| 08/17 | LAD @ COL | LAD ML | -283 | 11–5 | W |
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. 21+, where legal.
How this is graded
No screenshots. No memory-holed picks.
What counts as a pick
The model's moneyline side for every MLB game it simulated — the team it gave the higher win probability. No confidence filters, no "leans," no picks quietly dropped after the fact.
How grading happens
When a game goes final, the pick is scored against the real result automatically. The same database row that fed the pre-game simulation gets the final score written next to it — there's no step where a human chooses what to publish.
Why losses are shown
A 57% hitter that shows you all 100 picks is worth more than a "90% lock machine" that shows you nine winners. The break-even line at typical moneyline juice sits near 52.4% — what matters is the full record against that bar.
Record shown is the flagship MLB Monte Carlo model's moneyline side. Members see graded results for every model and market — spreads, totals, and player props — inside the app. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. 21+, where legal.
Tomorrow's picks get graded too.
See them before first pitch — free for a week.